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Tag: online video

  • Netflix most valuable media company for a short while

    Netflix most valuable media company for a short while

    MUMBAI: Netflix’s aggressive growth is becoming increasingly inevitable. For a brief period, the streaming giant emerged as the most valuable media company in the world on Thursday with a record high stock value. On Wednesday, it was already closely approaching Disney’s market value and the very next day it surpassed Disney’s market capitalisation. However, at the end of the day, Disney recovered enough to march past Netflix again.

    Netflix ended its day up 1.3 per cent with a market value of $151.8 billion. Disney ended its day with $152.2 billion market cap. With an increase in share, Netflix reached a market value of $152.6 billion as per reports.

    It surpassed Comcast’s market value on Wednesday owing to a new record high of its stock price. Netflix’s market value stood closer to Disney then. However, Disney is also becoming more aggressive in online video market to give a tough struggle to Netflix.

    Netflix’s market cap milestone reflects the seemingly voracious investor enthusiasm for the company’s growth prospects. In terms of revenue, Netflix is way behind Disney or Comcast.

    Also Read:

    Netflix beats Comcast in market value

    Now, Comcast in talks to buy 21st Century Fox

  • Online video growth zooms across Asia with internet TV consumption: MPA

    Online video growth zooms across Asia with internet TV consumption: MPA

    MUMBAI: In a landscape still dominated by TV, the Asia Pacific online video industry seems to be on a path to double its share of video industry revenue ex-China from 9 per cent in 2017 to 20 per cent by 2023, according to analysis released today by Media Partners Asia (MPA).

    The findings will be presented at the APOS Summit (April 24-26), an event for industry leaders in media, telecoms and entertainment, in Bali, Indonesia.

    The analysis covers 12 markets: Australia, India, Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and six key markets in Southeast Asia, with a focus on consumer and advertiser spend, content costs and market share across key clusters.

    MPA executive director Vivek Couto said: “The growth of subscription and ad-supported video services from Amazon, Facebook, Netflix and Google will propel these FANG companies to a combined 63 per cent share of Asia Pacific online video revenues ex-China by the end of 2018.

    Google-owned YouTube’s dominance is reflected by its 70 to 90 per cent slice of a large and fast-growing online video ad pie in Australia, Japan, Southeast Asia and India. In addition, Amazon and Netflix have scaled quickly with subscription video offerings in Australia, India and Japan but have a long way to go in Southeast Asia and Korea. There’s also a long runway for more growth in India.

    Encouragingly, local and regional players with strong entertainment and sports IP together with, in many instances, large TV businesses, have invested in online video platforms to grab a bigger market share. This is especially true in India, Korea and Japan, although Southeast Asia lags.

    The outlook remains in FANG’s favour, however, with its aggregate market share maintained at 62 per cent in 2023. Such scale will dramatically alter growth and investment dynamics across key markets. We see significant upside for local and regional media platforms with attractive IP and strong execution as well as the appetite and patience to invest over the long term across digital video.

    Excluded from MPA analysis are potential all-in premium offerings from Disney, 21st Century Fox and Time Warner, which are likely to start gaining traction at some point over the next five years as global media consolidation accelerates.

    FANG’s share could also be greater once Amazon Prime Video scales up in Australia and key markets across Southeast Asia. This is not yet included in the assumptions underlying MPA’s analysis.”

    Key highlights from the MPA survey include:

    FANG vs The Rest

    The growth of subscription and ad-supported video services from Amazon, Facebook, Netflix and Google will propel the FANG companies to a combined 63 per cent share of Asia Pacific online video revenues ex-China by the end of 2018. Google-owned YouTube’s dominance is reflected by its 70 to 90 per cent slice of a large and fast growing online video ad pie in Australia, Japan, Southeast Asia and India. Amazon and Netflix have scaled quickly with subscription video offerings in Australia, India and Japan but have a long way to go in Southeast Asia and Korea. There’s also a long runway for more growth in India.

    Encouragingly, local and regional players with strong entertainment and sports IP and, in many instances, large TV businesses, have invested in online video platforms to grab a bigger market share. This is especially true in India, Korea and Japan although Southeast Asia lags.    

    According to MPA, YouTube and Facebook combined will account for 72 per cent of online video advertising in Asia Pacific ex-China by 2023, versus 75 per cent at end-2018. In subscription-based online video, Amazon and Netflix’s combined share of the market should reach 35 per cent in 2018 and grow to 37 per cent by the end of 2023, although local and regional platforms are competing for and winning a share of incremental dollars in Australia, India, Japan, Korea and parts of Southeast Asia.

    Content Investment

    Total content investment in TV and online video across the 12 surveyed markets reached $23.1 billion in 2017, up 6 per cent year on year (yoy). MPA’s analysis includes movies, entertainment and sports. Content investment is expected to scale to $30.1 billion by 2023, a 5 per cent CAGR from 2018. Such growth is largely anchored to new dollars being spent across online video, which will account for 17 per cent of content investment by 2023 versus 10 per cent in 2018. MPA analysis focuses on premium video content creation across TV and OTT but excludes costs associated with the billions of hours being mass produced and uploaded on YouTube.

    Content investment on TV is largely anchored to continued growth in sports rights, across Australia and India in particular, entertainment on free TV across Southeast Asia, albeit expanding at a more moderate pace, and pay-TV in India and Korea. Online video’s contribution to total TV and online video content costs will grow markedly in Southeast Asia, rising from 10 per cent to 20 per cent between 2018 and 2023. A similar growth trajectory is evident over the same period in Australia (13 per cent to 26 per cent) and India (10 per cent to 19 per cent).

    The Overall Video Industry

    Asia Pacific advertising and subscription fees across TV and online video grew 3.9 per cent ex-China in 2017 to reach $60 billion. TV and online media continue to grow at different speeds, as expected, with TV revenues inching up 1.2 per cent in 2017 while online video revenue expanded by 45 per cent to $5.2 billion.

    MPA projects that total industry revenues will climb at a 3.8 per cent CAGR over 2018-23 to reach $77 billion by 2023, with online video scaling up by a 16 per cent CAGR to reach $15 billion in net terms by 2023 versus $7.1 billion in 2018. TV will only grow at a 1.8 per cent CAGR over the same period to reach $62 billion by 2023.

    By 2023, the largest TV and online video markets in Asia Pacific ex-China will be: Japan ($27 billion), India ($17 billion), Korea ($9.2 billion) and Australia ($8.2 billion). Southeast Asia will contribute $11.1 billion by 2023. India will remain the fastest-growing video market, growing at an average annual rate of more than 8 per cent over 2018-23, followed by Southeast Asia with 5 per cent and Australia at 4.5 per cent.

    Online Video

    Online video advertising, dominated by YouTube to date, continues to grow at a stellar pace, increasing by 47 per cent in Asia Pacific ex-China to $3.6 billion in 2017 and projected by MPA to climb at a 17 per cent CAGR between 2018-23 to reach $10.7 billion by 2022. Online video subscription fees are growing rapidly from a very low base, up 41 per cent year-on-year in 2017 to reach $1.7 billion and forecast to grow at a 12 per cent CAGR from 2018 to more than $4 billion by 2023.

    Japan and Australia will remain the leading markets for online video, contributing more than 55 per cent to Asia Pacific revenues ex-China in 2023. The third-largest market will be India, which will also be the fastest growing with a 26 per cent CAGR over 2018-23, with Southeast Asia the second-fastest with a 21 per cent CAGR over the same period.

  • Indian online video to grow to US 1.6 bn at 35 percent CAGR by 2022

    MUMBAI: Media Partners Asia (MPA) estimates that the Indian online video industry generated approximately US$ 230 million in total sales in 2016, and is on course to reach approximately US$340 million in 2017. MPA projects a 35 percent CAGR to 2022 as total industry sales top US$1.6 billion.

    Further, the MPA report entitled Asia Pacific Online Video & Broadband Distribution, says that the Asia Pacific online video market will scale to US$ 46 billion by 2022, with China contributing more than 75 percent. MPA indicates that online video revenues, including net advertising and subscription fees, will grow at a 21 percent CAGR across the region between 2017 and 2022, climbing from US$17.6 billion in 2017 to US$46 billion by 2022.

    Said Mumbai-based MPA Vice President Mihir Shah: “In 2016, Jio’s 4G launch intensified competition slashing mobile data prices. The currency demonetization initiative by the government, implemented towards the end of 2016, also helped spur a significant improvement in the digital payments infrastructure in the country. Both these events have served as catalysts for online video consumption and monetization. By 2022, SVOD will account for 17 percent of the online video market in terms of revenues. Online video consumption will remain dominated by YouTube with domestic challengers Hotstar and Voot performing robustly but in a distant second and third place, respectively.”

    China will continue to contribute the lion’s share of customers and revenues to the online video industry in Asia Pacific, garnering 85 percent of SVOD customers and 78 percent of online video sector revenues by 2022. Such growth and scale reflects: (1) Wide-scale investment in original and acquired OTT content, including early and exclusive windows; (2) A weak market for traditional pay-TV, creating an opportunity for premium content distribution and monetization through online video; (3) Steady improvements in broadband reach and infrastructure, as well as increased adoption of smart TVs and set-top boxes; (4) Consumer adoption of seamless payment systems, developed by the owners of some of the most popular online video services, who are also leveraging data analytics and bundling to create new cohesive new ecosystems for content, commerce and communication. China’s online video market is largely ad-supported but with subscription’s share of revenue hitting 33 percent in 2017 (compared to 18 percent in 2015 and 26 percent in 2016), prospects for a demand-driven subscription model remain bright.

    Japan, Australia, India, Korea and Taiwan will emerge as the markets ex-China with the most scale in online video revenues and distribution. This reflects robust payment infrastructure, including in India, along with the growth of advertising-funded platforms and the steady rise of premium, subscription-based platforms. Piracy and under-developed payment infrastructure will continue to limit growth across much of Southeast Asia although increased broadband penetration (led by mobile connectivity) positions telcos as key partners to drive online video revenues. Online video advertising, in particular, remains a scalable and vital opportunity in Southeast Asia while SVOD revenues will grow rapidly from a very low base.

    Said MPA executive director Vivek Couto: “Advances in telecoms and payment infrastructure continue to point the way forward for the online video sector in Asia Pacific, although business models and regulations continue to evolve in a sector that’s still nascent in most territories. Key trends are emerging: (1) Services anchored to nimble, robust and sustainable business models – built around strong execution and scalable content consumption – are rising to the top; (2) Access to local and Asian content is increasingly essential in almost all markets, while demand for recent windows for franchise-based Hollywood product is also robust. Demand for original content along with movies, kids content and sports is also becoming more important; (3) Content curation, packaging and pricing remain critical, along with brand equity. Telecom operators, which have been focused on either paid conversion or mass reach to drive value, are increasingly moving to tighter payment per consumption models in pursuit of ROI across key video partnerships; (4) The value of branded destinations will increase rapidly within the online video ecosystem as platforms and operators forge partnerships with broadcasters and content players; (5) Leading local and regional players ex-China will start to capitalize on a massive online video advertising opportunity, hitherto dominated in the main by YouTube.”

    According to MPA, the online video advertising pie in Asia Pacific will grow from under US$12 billion in 2017 to more than US$25 billion by 2022. Ex-China, this opportunity equates to US$7 billion by 2022 versus US$3 billion in 2017. YouTube and to some extent Facebook will remain dominant, with an average 75 percent market share of online video advertising between them ex-China by 2022, versus 85 percent in 2017. Japan, India and Australia, followed by Korea, will be the biggest online video ad markets after China over this period. In SVOD, consumer spend ex-China will accelerate from a low base as revenues reach ~US$3.1 billion in 2022 versus US$1.5 billion in 2017. Japan and Australia will account for a combined 55 percent of value by 2022 versus 68 percent in 2017. Southeast Asia’s contribution will climb rapidly from a mere 9 percent in 2017 to 15 percent by 2022. Indirect SVOD revenues, which reflect wholesale fees paid by telcos to online video platforms as part of bundling and integration agreements, will remain important in the medium term but become less significant longer-term. Even in the short-to-medium term, telecom operators are recalibrating their approach to ROI with a greater focus on payment per consumption models. Ex-China, SVOD indirect fees will grow from only US$110 million in 2017 to US$213 million by 2022. Average SVOD subscriber penetration of the population will only reach 9.8 percent in 2017. This should increase to ~19 percent by 2022 as total SVOD subs, including direct and indirect connections, scale from 341 million in 2017 to 676 million by 2022 (from 58 million to 102 million ex-China).

    Exponential growth of mobile internet connectivity, combined with a slow but steady transition to next-generation fixed broadband, will provide a significant boost to online video consumption, reach and monetization. According to MPA, data revenues across fixed and mobile networks in Asia Pacific are sizable at US$236 billion in 2017. These will reach US$318 billion by 2022, with the ex-China market size at ~US$175 billion by 2022 versus US$126 billion in 2017. Average mobile broadband penetration will reach 73 percent per capita by 2022 versus 59 percent in 2017, with some of the biggest growth coming from India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. Average fixed broadband penetration will grow steadily from 44 percent to 52 percent of households over 2017-22, with the focus increasingly on upgrading high-speed networks using fibre and next-generation cable technologies.