Category: Media and Advertising

  • Planning & buying in India’s digital video landscape: A primer

    Planning & buying in India’s digital video landscape: A primer

    MUMBAI: Even as ‘digital marketing’, ‘digital ad spends’, ‘mobile advertising’ and ‘online videos’ become part of the colloquial Indian advertising lingo, planning and buying digital media is a world removed from the television-driven number-crunching that account managers at the leading media agencies were so far used to.

    While multiple data points have made the business more technical, at the same time, it’s ironically way more dependent on specialists, who often go by the fabled ‘instincts’ formula to filter out the information overload.

    Lack of standard metrics of measurement often requires one to look at the media mix as a whole integrated entity and try different permutations and combinations to get the desired reach, efficiency or brand outcome. Working in silos is no longer an option. There is a reason why the profile of the digital media planner (in some cases she is called the video planner) is emerging as one of the most coveted jobs in M&E industry across the globe.

    As the industry undergoes a digital cataclysm in the various forms of video content online, there is a need to simplify it for the layman so that he or she at least gets a basic insight into  the ways of planning and buying digital media. So here’s the primer:

    From efficiency to effectiveness:

    public://digital plan 2.jpg

    More often than not brands, which are slowly adapting to digital marketing, go with the quick, and ‘cost-effective’ plans’, to minimize their risks, using digital media as an add-on to their larger television strategy.  The challenge current digital planners are unanimously facing is to convince these clients to move from efficiency-centric planning to ‘effective’ plans that will bring them a brand outcome.

    To start with, digital planning can be approached from two angles — one is based on efficiency, and the other is based on effectiveness that depends on the end goal.

    Digital planning keeping ‘efficiency’ in mind comes when a brand wants to reach a certain desired target audience quickly and cost effectively. It allows incremental reach or incremental GRPs.

    “Let’s say your TV planning gives you 70 percent reach. You can plan so that your digital strategy can add five more points to that; that planning has been done keeping efficiency in mind,” Maxus India Digital- west general manager Sairam Ranganathan gives an example.

    On the flip-side, effectiveness-based digital plan directly impacts a brand’s awareness, consumer’s purchase intent, etc. “While the first gives you a media output the latter gives you a band outcome,” Ranganathan adds.

    But the transition isn’t far off.

    “Though it finally comes down to what the objective of the campaign is, we planners can no longer afford to see it(digital plan) as a sidekick to traditional media,  but review it as they may very well overlook an existing audience if it is a right fit,” shares Havas Media Group, India and South Asia CEO Anita Nayyar.

    Further, it is seen on multiple occasions, that when TV and digital are intertwined – that’s when a planner hits the sweet spot of the campaign.

    Measurement through different agency lenses:

    public://digi 2.jpg

    Fundamentally planning and buying media on digital platforms follows the same core principles of establishing the media objective, setting the strategy, implementation, evaluation and follow-up.

    It starts with understanding the consumer and how he or she uses the various digital tools at their disposal. Based on which the creative format is singled out and possible targeting options are explored to bring the communication and the consumer together.

    It requires slicing and dicing of data gathered through several propriety tools that are at the planner’s disposal.  Thus measurement, like every other media, plays a key role in a digital media plan as well. This is where digital planning deviates from its traditional counterpart; especially when ‘videos’ is the buzz word.

    “When it comes to digital videos, there is no single source data available to us planners,” says  Ranganathan. “Comscore does share some data of measuring digital reach but it only calculates desktop viewership, and doesn’t include mobile, when most OTT players see higher play time on smartphones and other devices.”

    “Since there are no uniform measurement metrics across the industry, and multi-fold data points to consider while planning, each major agency has its own set of propriety tools that helps it slice and the dice data,” shares  Ranganathan.

    From a number perspective, planners have the figures that the various publishers such as Facebook, Twitter, Youtube, and the OTT players share, which is then coupled with the planners’ own insight based on data gathered overtime.

    “Planners at Havas typically benchmark video properties using a mix of tools and empirical data that  they have accumulated over the years. These are then superimposed on current market trends to derive estimates of performance vis-à-vis cost thus arriving at optimal plans.

    Today, increasingly we are planning and implementing an audiovisual plan rather than a TV plan, especially in case of TVC asset marketing. Here, traditional metrics of TV buying also play a major role – as Havas Media uses proprietary tools like ‘Smart Planner’, combining metrics of a TV plan and the metrics of online video (OLV),” explains Anita Nayyar.

    Similarly Maxus India has communication planning tool called Resolve that is available to its clients, while Dentsu Aegis Network, which is the parent company of Isobar India uses in-house propreity tool Consumer Connection System (CCS) for its clients.

    Apart from this, Facebook Insights, comScore, Google Analytics, Google Trends, TGI survey data from Kantar Media are some of the other universally available tools that the planners look into.

    To each is its own: OTT ad rates

    public://ott.jpg

    Just like measurement is up to each planner’s own interpretation, when it comes to solely digital videos, the buying metrics set by each player differs as well.

    “Different OTT players have different models or may even have a mix of different rates as per buy type – for example – YouTube offers videos at either CPCV (Cost Per Completed View) which are executed on a bidding model or pre-rolls which are sold on CPM. Video rates also depend upon the kind of content/ duration/ targeting for the video – these factors have a huge impact on pricing. It’s not a case of one-size fits all – every plan/property has a different rate (as it could be served via a bid model). Price ranges of typical video ads can range from Rs 2 to Rs 5 ± 25% for a CPCV,” shares Nayyar.

    While Facebook offers videos on CPV (Cost Per View) or CPE (Cost Per Engagement), players like Vdopia, etc. offer videos at CPCV or CPM (Cost Per Thousand Impressions) or Fixed Buy (roadblock units, etc.).

    Since ‘prime time’ doesn’t exist as a concept in the world of digital videos, premium rates are dependent how ‘hot’ the IP is and how sharp targeting the brands can do through it.

    “In digital the rate increases with more targeting parameters. Hypothetically speaking, if a brand wants to reach a TG of 15 + with no cap on the upper limit, for per thousand such people,  may earn the player Rs 100. But if a brand wants to reach out to an audience between the age of 15 to 20 years of age who reside in Mumbai city only, the sharper targeting reduces the audience inventory, and therefore increases the price. Simple demand supply ratio if you look at it,” explains Ranganathan.

    Currently, most OTT players sell their ad inventories in packages to sponsors; they don’t sell individual ad spots. “Once the packages are sold for a fixed amount of sponsorship amount that guarantees a certain inventory of views, shares, etc; the remnant inventory (if any) can be made into packages of 10 to 20 spots and sold to advertisers,” points out Isobar India vice president Gopa Kumar.

    Having a head start over the rest of players, Hotstar clearly commands premium rates among all the OTT players at the moment, although the ad rates are subjected to different packages to different brands.

    “While everyone else is catching up to it, since Star India has invested so much into its OTT player, it clearly is the industry leader and therefore commands premium rates,” shared a well known digital planner under promise of anonymity.

    “During IPL season 9, Hotstar charged Rs 5 crore for associate sponsorship, which went up to Rs 8 to Rs 12 crore for their title sponsorship,” guesstimated the planner, adding that the rates are almost catching up with television sponsorship rates.

    Buying spots on Youtube and Facebook is a different ball game altogether that mustn’t be compared to the other OTT players in the market. The social media giants allow a biddable form of spot sale and one can buy the spots in real time as well. “This pure demand supply game somewhat democratizes the process for advertisers and gives them the flexibility to  work with a  limited budget or go bullish on a lucrative ad spot that would yield it good reach. While CPM based sales are available on YouTube to clients buying bulk in a package, most of Facebook video inventory is sold through auctions,” shares Kumar.

    Until all the players meet at a level playing field in terms of reach and content, and a uniform measurement standard is introduced in the OTT world,  is it unfair for brands to comply with prices set by individual players based on their internal measurement?

    “It isn’t unfair as brands have a choice to not advertise on OTT if they don’t buy the figures provided by the publishers/ players. Digital isn’t limited to OTT; it has 20 to 30 different touch points through which consumers can be reached. In fact OTTs are only a section of it,” Ranganathan adds.

    Do advertisers really understand digital videos?

    Advertising on TV has a history checkered with benchmarks that the brands have witnessed. The challenge with digital media is that these signposts are yet to be set. Therefore to expect clients to completely get the nuances of digital planning is unfair.

    To put matters into perspective, out of Rs 100 spent on advertising in India, only Rs 10 to Rs 14 (keeping several leading industry reports in mind ) is going in digital ad spends, which includes its multiple avenues such as SEO marketing and display ads. Digital video is a small part of the latter. Thus, brands may not be too vested in the medium yet.

    Having said that planners admit that in the last couple of years, brands have shown more confidence in digital video ads. They no longer ask ‘why digital’ but ‘what in digital.’ Videos are a better part of this ‘what.’

    And that is indeed good news for the digital players wanting brands to buy in to their sales inventories.

  • Dentsu Aegis Network announces rebranding of Dentsu Branded Agencies

    Dentsu Aegis Network announces rebranding of Dentsu Branded Agencies

    MUMBAI: Transformation is in the air at Dentsu Aegis Network’s Dentsu Branded Agencies.

    One of the key advantages that Dentsu Aegis Network has as a network is, to create collaborations that keep clients’ business at heart. In a key move to help clients better leverage the capabilities of a global network, Dentsu Aegis Network has realigned agencies across several countries under three groupings.

    In India, this is now being manifested in three of its creative agencies being rebranded to better reflect this alignment.

    As a consequence, Dentsu Communications will now be known as Dentsu India, Dentsu Marcom will now be known as Dentsu One and Dentsu Creative Impact will now be known as Dentsu Impact. Meanwhile, Taproot Dentsu and Dentsu Webchutney remain unchanged.

    Said Dentsu Aegis Network India & south Asia chairman & CEO Ashish Bhasin: “This new nomenclature is a first step towards expanding and reinforcing the global and regional services we provide our clients in India. It will help us serve our global clients better as well as acquire more new business.”

    Commenting further on the change, Ashish Bhasin added, “We are consolidating our capabilities under a global agency network, with a uniform identity across markets, in order to strengthen the coordination across our network and expand the high quality service we consistently provide. The most important ingredient in creating innovation in an ever-changing environment is collaboration. This realignment will fuel, just that in newer, more efficient ways. This will help us further accelerate the tremendous success that Dentsu Branded Agencies have experienced in India over the last year, including the spectacular performance at Goafest awards and in the area of new business.”

    There is no change in the leadership or staff of each of the individual units, Dentsu announced. Simi Sabhaney will continue as CEO and Vipul Thakkar as NCD of Dentsu India, Harjot Narang as President and Titus Upputuru as NCD of Dentsu One, and Amit Wadhwa as president and Soumitra Karnik as NCD of Dentsu Impact. Meanwhile, Narayan Devanathan continues as the group executive & strategy officer of Dentsu Branded Agencies, India.

  • Dentsu Aegis Network announces rebranding of Dentsu Branded Agencies

    Dentsu Aegis Network announces rebranding of Dentsu Branded Agencies

    MUMBAI: Transformation is in the air at Dentsu Aegis Network’s Dentsu Branded Agencies.

    One of the key advantages that Dentsu Aegis Network has as a network is, to create collaborations that keep clients’ business at heart. In a key move to help clients better leverage the capabilities of a global network, Dentsu Aegis Network has realigned agencies across several countries under three groupings.

    In India, this is now being manifested in three of its creative agencies being rebranded to better reflect this alignment.

    As a consequence, Dentsu Communications will now be known as Dentsu India, Dentsu Marcom will now be known as Dentsu One and Dentsu Creative Impact will now be known as Dentsu Impact. Meanwhile, Taproot Dentsu and Dentsu Webchutney remain unchanged.

    Said Dentsu Aegis Network India & south Asia chairman & CEO Ashish Bhasin: “This new nomenclature is a first step towards expanding and reinforcing the global and regional services we provide our clients in India. It will help us serve our global clients better as well as acquire more new business.”

    Commenting further on the change, Ashish Bhasin added, “We are consolidating our capabilities under a global agency network, with a uniform identity across markets, in order to strengthen the coordination across our network and expand the high quality service we consistently provide. The most important ingredient in creating innovation in an ever-changing environment is collaboration. This realignment will fuel, just that in newer, more efficient ways. This will help us further accelerate the tremendous success that Dentsu Branded Agencies have experienced in India over the last year, including the spectacular performance at Goafest awards and in the area of new business.”

    There is no change in the leadership or staff of each of the individual units, Dentsu announced. Simi Sabhaney will continue as CEO and Vipul Thakkar as NCD of Dentsu India, Harjot Narang as President and Titus Upputuru as NCD of Dentsu One, and Amit Wadhwa as president and Soumitra Karnik as NCD of Dentsu Impact. Meanwhile, Narayan Devanathan continues as the group executive & strategy officer of Dentsu Branded Agencies, India.

  • Dentsu Aegis Network  to acquire majority stakes in Merkle

    Dentsu Aegis Network to acquire majority stakes in Merkle

    MUMBAI: Continuing its buying spree, Dentsu Inc.’s Dentsu Aegis Network is eyeing to acquire a majority stake in Baltimore based data marketing firm Merkle that specializes in ‘customer relationship marketing.’

    It includes crafting loyalty programs for marketers and managing their vast customer databases that hold reams of consumer information. It also offers a host of other digital marketing and technology services including search advertising and data-driven ad buying and analytics.

    Terms of the deal were not disclosed but The Wallstreet Journal’s insights the c’ash deal has an enterprise value of roughly USD 1.5 billion when including Merkle’s debt.’

    “Their ability to develop people-based-marketing highlights where this business is going,” Dentsu Aegis Network CEO Jerry Buhlmann told WSJ. . “Convergence is driving our business towards a much greater level of addressability.”

    As part of the agreement, Dentsu buy out private equity firm technology Crossover Venture’s stakes in he company along with other shares held by other shareholders. Merkle’s management and employees expect to retain a “significant” minority stake in the firm.

    “Closely-held Merkle had $436 million in revenue in 2015 and works on behalf of companies such as MetLife Inc., Geico Corp., and Dell Inc. In recent years, it has invested in ad and marketing technologies to help power its clients’ campaigns. Its systems are closely integrated with Facebook, for example, so Merkle could help target ads for a retailer using the data the retailer collects from its customers such as email addresses,” stated the The Wall Street Journal report.

    (Source: The Wall Street Journal)

  • Dentsu Aegis Network  to acquire majority stakes in Merkle

    Dentsu Aegis Network to acquire majority stakes in Merkle

    MUMBAI: Continuing its buying spree, Dentsu Inc.’s Dentsu Aegis Network is eyeing to acquire a majority stake in Baltimore based data marketing firm Merkle that specializes in ‘customer relationship marketing.’

    It includes crafting loyalty programs for marketers and managing their vast customer databases that hold reams of consumer information. It also offers a host of other digital marketing and technology services including search advertising and data-driven ad buying and analytics.

    Terms of the deal were not disclosed but The Wallstreet Journal’s insights the c’ash deal has an enterprise value of roughly USD 1.5 billion when including Merkle’s debt.’

    “Their ability to develop people-based-marketing highlights where this business is going,” Dentsu Aegis Network CEO Jerry Buhlmann told WSJ. . “Convergence is driving our business towards a much greater level of addressability.”

    As part of the agreement, Dentsu buy out private equity firm technology Crossover Venture’s stakes in he company along with other shares held by other shareholders. Merkle’s management and employees expect to retain a “significant” minority stake in the firm.

    “Closely-held Merkle had $436 million in revenue in 2015 and works on behalf of companies such as MetLife Inc., Geico Corp., and Dell Inc. In recent years, it has invested in ad and marketing technologies to help power its clients’ campaigns. Its systems are closely integrated with Facebook, for example, so Merkle could help target ads for a retailer using the data the retailer collects from its customers such as email addresses,” stated the The Wall Street Journal report.

    (Source: The Wall Street Journal)

  • “TV ad rates will continue to be under pressure” – Ashish Bhasin

    “TV ad rates will continue to be under pressure” – Ashish Bhasin

    MUMBAI: From leading brands discussing the advertising fraternity’s readiness to deal with the digital onslaught to panel discussions after panel discussions dedicated to cracking the content code of the digital world in reputed conferences; the Indian media world is truly enamored with the word ‘digital.’ And rightly so, as the media has completely changed how the trade works in the sector.

    But little is being discussed on the specifics of digital media’s effect on television and its business. To put this into perspective and shed light upon the current realities of the television industry from a media executive’s point of view, indiantelevision.com reached out to Dentsu Aegis Network chairman and South Asia CEO Ashish Bhasin.

    In a free flowing conversation, Bhasin opens up on sophistication employed in a new age television plan with the help of data analysis, ad-rates discrepancies in India,  future of TV media from advertising perspective, and more.

    Excerpts:

    Does Big Data and interpreting it play a role in today’s TV plans?

    It is important to pay attention to Big Data and analyse it right. At Dentsu Aegis Network we have set up our own data stack, which is driving through econometric modelling. That team is using it…it is composed of a young team of statisticians and senior data analysts, economists, and technicians who are analysing and decoding the available data on behalf of our clients.

    For example, you can get 44 percent reach for a particular plan on television.  Now if you spend 10 percent extra on your budget, you probably can get 46 percent reach on the same plan. This 10 percent of budget spends for 2 percent of incremental reach isn’t viable for the client. Thats where the data team comes in, who have developed a software who figures out where is that wastage happening. They combine the television exposure and digital exposure and tells us here is the sweet spot for advertisers to spend that 10 percent on.

    The age old problem of advertising is that advertisers know 50 percent of their advertising works but don’t know which half. Our approach helps the advertisers to know to some extent which half works.

    Many fear that digital will eat into television’s ad revenues even as TV continues to grow. What are your thoughts on this?

    Well in the distant future, in theory, digital will eat into television’s market share because everything will become digital. It is already happening in the more mature western markets but in India that has a long way go because television penetration has some way to go. We are all seeing it still from a Mumbai-Delhi point of view but the growth is not going to come from these two metros, there is already 100 per cent penetration there. The growth will come from tier III tier IV rural towns.

    There it is a long way to go. Therefore for the next five to 10 years there is enough space for all media to grow. Even print, which is collapsing everywhere else in the world is still still growing in India because literary levels are growing. But we don’t doubt that digital will grow faster – at least we believe – than any other medium.

    Will the per unit realisation (valuation) of television go up?

    Per unit realisation is the function of the audiences you get. More your distribution, more your audience, more is the realisation. I don’t think it will go because there are contradictory factors acting. On the one side you are getting more audiences, on the other side, the time of these audiences is getting more fragmented. It is getting fragmented — within television, and also between television and digital.

    So, there will be a balancing factor. It won’t collapse like it has in many other parts of the world. It may go up but gradually because there will be the other factor of the fragmentation which will come into play. There will be the two paradoxical forces acting together.

    Compared to markets like US, Indian television ad rates are very low even after adjusting the purchasing power parity. Your comments?

    I think it is unfair to compare US national rates with Indian semi regional rates because they are operating on completely different bases. There are 300 million people in the US. Out of that the TV audience is about 150 million. Per person per secondage average if you compare the two, you will understand, there are two different bases you are operating from. It’s unfair to compare US national rates with Indian semi-national or regional programs. Because then what you should compare is the 0800 ads in Minnesota, Iowa. You see their rates, their rates are less than or equal to the rates in India, even though the ones there are in dollars. The Super Bowl, one refers to, is a dense packed audience nationally – it is a unique phenomenon.

    Could the IPL be that property in India?

    It probably could be, But the IPL has already peaked; it will not go beyond this. That’s why IPL is commanding the premium; one spot on IPL is so expensive. It is anywhere between Rs three to five lakh for a 10 second spot.  

    What trend do you notice in the current television advertising rates per spot?

    I feel that the pricing on television will further go down. Today, we are looking at 0.1 rated programs. There are hundreds of programs that rated 0.1 by BARC. Tomorrow, you will be having programs with e rated 0.05, hypothetically. An advertiser is ultimately paying for the eyeballs the show is getting. If that number will go down, suddenly the prices can’t go up right?

    It is true that some premier shows will command higher ratings, such as a cricket match etc. But I don’t see the ratings going up in general.

    An advertiser is only paying more money to get more audience. To an advertiser it does not matter whether the viewer is watching it on Zee, Sony, Star or Colors, he is interested in that my target audience, say a million people, where do I reach them? So, if the reach or number of people is going to get more and more fragmented, then the per spot rate is headed south. Overall the advertiser may end up spending more because he has to take that many more spots to reach the audience he wants, but the per spot rate realisation will not go up, it will come down.

    The problem with television is also that there is too much supply, too many channels, too much inventory. The TV industry had one chance to limit the supply when the TRAI asked them to limit ad time on TV to 12 minutes an hour. Limiting supply could have had to benefit of taking rates up. But the industry did not comply with this. Hence, now there has been a commodisation of television air time.

    Do you think we will need  TV broadcaster going forward?

    The reduction of dependency on a broadcaster is at least five to 10 years away in India, which is what I keep reminding people. We are at that sweet spot where everything is going to grow. While there will be a lot of digital pressure and digital will grow fast, actually if there were no other contradictory pressures, TV should have started collapsing. That will not happen because TV is growing.

    Doordarshan has started giving away its Free Dishes in the south now. They started this in the north earlier. With this the penetration of free to air channels is going to really rise. Hence the distribution increase is going to keep an inward positive upward pressure for TV coming up. Digital is going to put pressure on it to push it down. Therefore it will remain in balance for four to five years. Finally, digital will prevail. Once you more or less have penetrated India. You have more or less got everyone in. That stage, that will be tipping point when digital will take over.

    What will happen when Jio launches?

    Globally, if you see, smart phone penetration when it goes over one third, it’s the rule of thumb. That’s the inflection point in digital anywhere. In India we are probably at around 18-20 per cent. We are about 12-18 months away from that point. The moment smartphone penetration crosses 33 per cent, bandwidth gets available cheaper and cheaper. And you get good quality bandwidth. That inflection point is going to happen.

    How will that impact the advertising agency?

    Lines are blurring. There is no difference between media  or technology or content. There is only one solution. And the advertiser is looking at a comprehensive digital solution from his communications partner.

    What does a traditional client looking for digital solutions want from an agency these days?

    The client today doesn’t want generalists. He wants super specialists. If it is digital, he doesn’t want a normally media guy to handle it, he wants a digital specialist to handle its social media, a search specialist and then a display specialist.

    The clients today want the benefits of specialization but he does not want the hassles of silos. Fortunately or unfortunately, all the legacy agencies are constructed in silos. For a guy in a creative agency, it does not matter if the media goes to any other agency. Because they are all separate companies. Because of this they have not been able to provide a single solution under one umbrella.

    The reason we have been successful is that we are structured as one P&L. Everything from media in India reports into me – whether it is Carat or Isobar or iProspect or  Dentsu Creative or whatever. And that is our biggest strength because you can bring talent in, think around the client in one seamless way.  And almost all of the others have not focused on this.

    Your take on ad blockers?

    Ad blocking is a very tricky subject. As a consumer when I look at it, ad blockers are damn good because audiences don’t want an intrusion when they consume content. I think advertising businesses are to be blamed for getting the pushback from the consumers because people just went berserk with displays online. Consumers are not paying to see your advertising, they are paying for content. So if advertisers start intruding so much, there will be push back. And it will only go up unless we figure out some standardisation. The future of digital advertising is going to be opted.

    We see ad blocking in conjunction with bot fraud and click fraud, it will lead to a scenario where the media will collapse unless the cleaning up doesn’t happen.

    We have a large programmatic buying division. The biggest challenge they face is how do you that it’s a human being consuming the content on the other end. So ad blocking will continue to happen unless you have incentivized the consumer to opt it. Either by choice or by incentives. Privacy laws will get stronger, they are much stronger abroad than they are here.

     

  • “TV ad rates will continue to be under pressure” – Ashish Bhasin

    “TV ad rates will continue to be under pressure” – Ashish Bhasin

    MUMBAI: From leading brands discussing the advertising fraternity’s readiness to deal with the digital onslaught to panel discussions after panel discussions dedicated to cracking the content code of the digital world in reputed conferences; the Indian media world is truly enamored with the word ‘digital.’ And rightly so, as the media has completely changed how the trade works in the sector.

    But little is being discussed on the specifics of digital media’s effect on television and its business. To put this into perspective and shed light upon the current realities of the television industry from a media executive’s point of view, indiantelevision.com reached out to Dentsu Aegis Network chairman and South Asia CEO Ashish Bhasin.

    In a free flowing conversation, Bhasin opens up on sophistication employed in a new age television plan with the help of data analysis, ad-rates discrepancies in India,  future of TV media from advertising perspective, and more.

    Excerpts:

    Does Big Data and interpreting it play a role in today’s TV plans?

    It is important to pay attention to Big Data and analyse it right. At Dentsu Aegis Network we have set up our own data stack, which is driving through econometric modelling. That team is using it…it is composed of a young team of statisticians and senior data analysts, economists, and technicians who are analysing and decoding the available data on behalf of our clients.

    For example, you can get 44 percent reach for a particular plan on television.  Now if you spend 10 percent extra on your budget, you probably can get 46 percent reach on the same plan. This 10 percent of budget spends for 2 percent of incremental reach isn’t viable for the client. Thats where the data team comes in, who have developed a software who figures out where is that wastage happening. They combine the television exposure and digital exposure and tells us here is the sweet spot for advertisers to spend that 10 percent on.

    The age old problem of advertising is that advertisers know 50 percent of their advertising works but don’t know which half. Our approach helps the advertisers to know to some extent which half works.

    Many fear that digital will eat into television’s ad revenues even as TV continues to grow. What are your thoughts on this?

    Well in the distant future, in theory, digital will eat into television’s market share because everything will become digital. It is already happening in the more mature western markets but in India that has a long way go because television penetration has some way to go. We are all seeing it still from a Mumbai-Delhi point of view but the growth is not going to come from these two metros, there is already 100 per cent penetration there. The growth will come from tier III tier IV rural towns.

    There it is a long way to go. Therefore for the next five to 10 years there is enough space for all media to grow. Even print, which is collapsing everywhere else in the world is still still growing in India because literary levels are growing. But we don’t doubt that digital will grow faster – at least we believe – than any other medium.

    Will the per unit realisation (valuation) of television go up?

    Per unit realisation is the function of the audiences you get. More your distribution, more your audience, more is the realisation. I don’t think it will go because there are contradictory factors acting. On the one side you are getting more audiences, on the other side, the time of these audiences is getting more fragmented. It is getting fragmented — within television, and also between television and digital.

    So, there will be a balancing factor. It won’t collapse like it has in many other parts of the world. It may go up but gradually because there will be the other factor of the fragmentation which will come into play. There will be the two paradoxical forces acting together.

    Compared to markets like US, Indian television ad rates are very low even after adjusting the purchasing power parity. Your comments?

    I think it is unfair to compare US national rates with Indian semi regional rates because they are operating on completely different bases. There are 300 million people in the US. Out of that the TV audience is about 150 million. Per person per secondage average if you compare the two, you will understand, there are two different bases you are operating from. It’s unfair to compare US national rates with Indian semi-national or regional programs. Because then what you should compare is the 0800 ads in Minnesota, Iowa. You see their rates, their rates are less than or equal to the rates in India, even though the ones there are in dollars. The Super Bowl, one refers to, is a dense packed audience nationally – it is a unique phenomenon.

    Could the IPL be that property in India?

    It probably could be, But the IPL has already peaked; it will not go beyond this. That’s why IPL is commanding the premium; one spot on IPL is so expensive. It is anywhere between Rs three to five lakh for a 10 second spot.  

    What trend do you notice in the current television advertising rates per spot?

    I feel that the pricing on television will further go down. Today, we are looking at 0.1 rated programs. There are hundreds of programs that rated 0.1 by BARC. Tomorrow, you will be having programs with e rated 0.05, hypothetically. An advertiser is ultimately paying for the eyeballs the show is getting. If that number will go down, suddenly the prices can’t go up right?

    It is true that some premier shows will command higher ratings, such as a cricket match etc. But I don’t see the ratings going up in general.

    An advertiser is only paying more money to get more audience. To an advertiser it does not matter whether the viewer is watching it on Zee, Sony, Star or Colors, he is interested in that my target audience, say a million people, where do I reach them? So, if the reach or number of people is going to get more and more fragmented, then the per spot rate is headed south. Overall the advertiser may end up spending more because he has to take that many more spots to reach the audience he wants, but the per spot rate realisation will not go up, it will come down.

    The problem with television is also that there is too much supply, too many channels, too much inventory. The TV industry had one chance to limit the supply when the TRAI asked them to limit ad time on TV to 12 minutes an hour. Limiting supply could have had to benefit of taking rates up. But the industry did not comply with this. Hence, now there has been a commodisation of television air time.

    Do you think we will need  TV broadcaster going forward?

    The reduction of dependency on a broadcaster is at least five to 10 years away in India, which is what I keep reminding people. We are at that sweet spot where everything is going to grow. While there will be a lot of digital pressure and digital will grow fast, actually if there were no other contradictory pressures, TV should have started collapsing. That will not happen because TV is growing.

    Doordarshan has started giving away its Free Dishes in the south now. They started this in the north earlier. With this the penetration of free to air channels is going to really rise. Hence the distribution increase is going to keep an inward positive upward pressure for TV coming up. Digital is going to put pressure on it to push it down. Therefore it will remain in balance for four to five years. Finally, digital will prevail. Once you more or less have penetrated India. You have more or less got everyone in. That stage, that will be tipping point when digital will take over.

    What will happen when Jio launches?

    Globally, if you see, smart phone penetration when it goes over one third, it’s the rule of thumb. That’s the inflection point in digital anywhere. In India we are probably at around 18-20 per cent. We are about 12-18 months away from that point. The moment smartphone penetration crosses 33 per cent, bandwidth gets available cheaper and cheaper. And you get good quality bandwidth. That inflection point is going to happen.

    How will that impact the advertising agency?

    Lines are blurring. There is no difference between media  or technology or content. There is only one solution. And the advertiser is looking at a comprehensive digital solution from his communications partner.

    What does a traditional client looking for digital solutions want from an agency these days?

    The client today doesn’t want generalists. He wants super specialists. If it is digital, he doesn’t want a normally media guy to handle it, he wants a digital specialist to handle its social media, a search specialist and then a display specialist.

    The clients today want the benefits of specialization but he does not want the hassles of silos. Fortunately or unfortunately, all the legacy agencies are constructed in silos. For a guy in a creative agency, it does not matter if the media goes to any other agency. Because they are all separate companies. Because of this they have not been able to provide a single solution under one umbrella.

    The reason we have been successful is that we are structured as one P&L. Everything from media in India reports into me – whether it is Carat or Isobar or iProspect or  Dentsu Creative or whatever. And that is our biggest strength because you can bring talent in, think around the client in one seamless way.  And almost all of the others have not focused on this.

    Your take on ad blockers?

    Ad blocking is a very tricky subject. As a consumer when I look at it, ad blockers are damn good because audiences don’t want an intrusion when they consume content. I think advertising businesses are to be blamed for getting the pushback from the consumers because people just went berserk with displays online. Consumers are not paying to see your advertising, they are paying for content. So if advertisers start intruding so much, there will be push back. And it will only go up unless we figure out some standardisation. The future of digital advertising is going to be opted.

    We see ad blocking in conjunction with bot fraud and click fraud, it will lead to a scenario where the media will collapse unless the cleaning up doesn’t happen.

    We have a large programmatic buying division. The biggest challenge they face is how do you that it’s a human being consuming the content on the other end. So ad blocking will continue to happen unless you have incentivized the consumer to opt it. Either by choice or by incentives. Privacy laws will get stronger, they are much stronger abroad than they are here.